Public Policy and Decision Science: Difference between revisions

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''This page is about the intersection of policy-making and machine learning. For an overview of policy-making and decision science, please see the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Policy Wikipedia page] on this topic.''
 
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== Machine Learning Application Areas ==
 
=== GatherGathering decision-relevant data ===
 
* [[Data management, cleaning and imputation|'''Data management, cleaning and imputation''']]: ML can help with cleaning, merging and completing datasets that are relevant for policy-making.
=== Computational Social Science ===
*'''[[Remote Sensing|Remote sensing]]''': Satellite data can provide a lot of valuable information to policy makers, for example by helping map infrastructure, land use and ecosystem health. The field of remote sensing has seen large improvements with ML.
* '''[[Computational text analysis]]:''' Text documents are an important source of information to inform climate policy. Natural language processing can help to analyze large corpora of text.
 
=== Decision analysisscience ===
 
* '''Decision science'''
* [[Multi-criteria decision-making|'''Multi-criteria decision-making''']]: Multi-criteria decision-making can also help policy-makers manage trade-offs between different policies. Computational approaches and machine learning can help with finding solutions to these optimization problems.
 
==== MarketsModeling and Pricingplanning ====
 
* '''[[Agent-based modeling]]:''' ABMs are used in simulating the actions and interactions of agents in their environment, and ML can help integrate data-driven insights into these models, for example by learning rules or models for agents based on observational data.
* '''Energy system modeling'''
* '''Urban planning:''' With new techniques such as [[surrogate modeling]], ML can help with complex planning tasks.
* '''[[Power System Planning]]:''' Algorithms for planning new low-carbon energy infrastructure are often large and slow. ML can help speed up or provide proxies for these algorithms.
* '''[[Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs)|Integrated assessment models]]:''' IAMs are large simulations used to explore future societal pathways that are consistent with climate goals, which can be improved with ML.
 
=== Ex-post policy analysis ===
 
* '''[[Causal inference with machine learning]]:''' To analyze whether a policy intervention has had the desired effect, causal inference is an important tool.
 
== Background Readings ==
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*'''Resources for Effective Climate Decisions. (Ch. 4) Informing an Effective Response to Climate Change (2010''')<ref>{{Cite book|url=https://www.nap.edu/catalog/12784/informing-an-effective-response-to-climate-change|title=Informing an Effective Response to Climate Change|last=Council|first=National Research|date=2010-07-21|isbn=978-0-309-14594-7|language=en}}</ref>: A chapter from a report published after a series of five coordinated activities convened by the National Research Council in response to a request from Congress. [https://www.nap.edu/read/12784/chapter/6#126 Available here.]
*'''Climate Change and Society: Approaches and Responses. (2011)'''<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Dryzek|first=John S.|last2=Norgaard|first2=Richard B.|last3=Schlosberg|first3=David|date=2011-08-18|title=Climate Change and Society: Approaches and Responses|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199566600.003.0001|journal=Oxford Handbooks Online|doi=10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199566600.003.0001}}</ref>: a chapter from the Oxford Handbook of Climate Change and Society. [https://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199566600.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780199566600-e-1 Available here.]
*'''Assessment and Decision-making for Climate Change: An Overview of Four Approaches (2012):''' The second report of the West Kootenay Climate Vulnerability and Resilience Project. [https://www2.gov.bc.ca/assets/gov/environment/natural-resource-stewardship/nrs-climate-change/applied-science/holtreport2assess4approaches.pdf Available here.]
*'''Social Capital, Collective Action, and Adaptation to Climate Change (2003)'''<ref>{{Citation|title=Social Capital, Collective Action, and Adaptation to Climate Change|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-92258-4_19|publisher=VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften}}</ref>''':''' a review of the emerging perspectives of collective action and social capital. [https://www.crcresearch.org/files-crcresearch/File/adger_03.pdf Available here.]
*'''Social, Economic, and Ethical Concepts and Methods. (Ch. 3). (2014)'''<ref>{{Citation|title=Social, Economic, and Ethical Concepts and Methods|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781107415416.009|publisher=Cambridge University Press}}</ref> : a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) regarding the social and economic aspects of climate change. [https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ipcc_wg3_ar5_chapter3.pdf Available here.]
 
==== Policy Making ====
 
*'''From Science to Policy: Developing Responses to Climate Change. (Ch. 12). Climate Change and Human Health - Risks and Responses. (1996)'''<ref>{{Citation|title=The Politics of Climate Science|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8925-3_8|publisher=Springer Netherlands}}</ref>: a report by the World Health Organization on the risks to human health of developing responses to climate change. [https://www.who.int/globalchange/climate/en/chapter12.pdf Available here.]
*'''Decision making under uncertainty in climate change mitigation: introducing multiple actor motivations, agency and influence (2018)'''<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Roelich|first=Katy|last2=Giesekam|first2=Jannik|date=2018-06-04|title=Decision making under uncertainty in climate change mitigation: introducing multiple actor motivations, agency and influence|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1479238|journal=Climate Policy|volume=19|issue=2|pages=175–188|doi=10.1080/14693062.2018.1479238|issn=1469-3062}}</ref>: an article that presents an analysis that includes the perspectives and agency of multiple actors in climate change mitigation, through a case study of the UK construction sector. [https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2018.1479238 Available here.]
*'''Decision Making and Climate Change Uncertainty: Setting the Foundations for Informed and Consistent Strategic Decisions. (2019)'''<ref>{{Cite book|title=Adapting Infrastructure to Climate Change|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315638973|publisher=Routledge|accessdate=2020-08-28}}</ref>''':''' an accessible explanation of how public officials, especially in low income countries, can address today's short- term pressing needs while preparing for tomorrow's climate-related impacts, written by the Climate Change Advisor of the Government of Quito, Chile. [https://www.wri.org/our-work/project/world-resources-report/decision-making-and-climate-change-uncertainty-setting Available here.]
*'''Climate Change Policies (2016)'''<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Del Río|first=Pablo|title=Climate Change Policies and New Technologies|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.4337/9781781000885.00016|journal=Climate Change Policies|doi=10.4337/9781781000885.00016}}</ref>''':''' A report by the European Environmental Agency on defining successful, impactful policies for climate change. [https://www.eea.europa.eu/themes/climate/policy-context Available here.]
 
*
==== Markets and Pricing ====
 
*'''Market Strategies for Climate Change (2004)'''<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Kolk|first=Ans|last2=Pinkse|first2=Jonatan|date=2004-06-01|title=Market Strategies for Climate Change|url=http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0263237304000453|journal=European Management Journal|language=en|volume=22|issue=3|pages=304–314|doi=10.1016/j.emj.2004.04.011|issn=0263-2373}}</ref>''':''' examines current market responses, focusing on the drivers (threats and opportunities) and the actions being taken by companies to address climate change. [https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0263237304000453 Available here.]
*'''The Critical Role of Markets in Climate Change Adaptation (2018)'''<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Anderson|first=Sarah|last2=Anderson|first2=Terry|last3=Hill|first3=Alice|last4=Kahn|first4=Matthew|last5=Kunreuther|first5=Howard|last6=Libecap|first6=Gary|last7=Mantripragada|first7=Hari|last8=Mérel|first8=Pierre|last9=Plantinga|first9=Andrew|last10=Smith|first10=V. Kerry|date=2018-05|title=The Critical Role of Markets in Climate Change Adaptation|url=http://www.nber.org/papers/w24645.pdf|language=en|location=Cambridge, MA|pages=w24645|doi=10.3386/w24645}}</ref>''':''' this paper summarizes and synthesizes the role of markets in facilitating climate change adaptation. It explains how market signals encourage adaptation through land markets. [https://www.nber.org/papers/w24645 Available here.]
*'''Market-based strategies. (2019)'''<ref>{{Cite web|title=Market-Based Strategies|url=https://www.c2es.org/content/market-based-strategies/|website=Center for Climate and Energy Solutions|date=2020-06-13}}</ref>: An overview prepared by the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions about market-based approaches, like a carbon tax or cap-and-trade program, that can help reduce emissions at the lowest possible cost. [https://www.c2es.org/content/market-based-strategies/ Available here.]
 
== Online Courses and Course Materials ==
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*'''[https://www.iaee.org/en/conferences/ International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE) Conferences:]''' Main venue for academic and professional energy analyst, with a strong policy focus (international and regional).
*'''[https://www.appam.org/events/ Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM) Conferences]:''' Conferences and events dedicated to improving public policy and management (international and regional).
*[https://www.ippapublicpolicy.org '''International Conference on Public Policy (ICPP):''']
 
=== Major societies and organizations ===
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*'''[https://www.iaee.org International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE)]:''' A major society for academic and professional energy analyst, with a strong policy focus.
*'''[https://www.appam.org/about-appam/general-info/ Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM)]:''' Society dedicated to improving public policy and management by fostering excellence in research, analysis, and education.
*'''[https://www.ippapublicpolicy.org International Public Policy Association (IPPA)]:''' A non-profit organization with the aim of promoting scientific research in the field of Public Policy, and to contribute to its international development.
 
== Libraries and Tools ==
Given the importance of representing the impacts of decision-making and market-based strategies, interactive simulation tools and packages for multi-objective optimization are particularly useful in this application. Some of these are listed below:
 
*[https://www.carbonpricingleadership.org/calendar/2019/1/18/carbonsim-edfs-carbon-market-simulation-tool Carbon market simulation tool]: demystifies how to develop and implement a carbon portfolio management strategy, and demonstrates that results are driven by design.
* Python packages for multi-objective optimization:
**[https://projects.g-node.org/emoo/ Evolutionary Multi-Objective Optimization (EMOO)]
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=== Climate policy databases ===
 
* [https://app.climatepolicyradar.org Climate Policy Radar]: an open resource of climate laws, policies and action plans from every national government. The database offers full text search of documents via the website.
 
* [https://www.iea.org/policies Policies database of the International Energy Agency (IEA)]: one of the largest international climate and energy policy databases, integrating the IEA/IRENA Renewable Energy Policies and Measures Database, the IEA Energy Efficiency Database, the Addressing Climate Change database, and the Building Energy Efficiency Policies (BEEP) database.
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*[https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/ipcc-socio-economic-baseline IPCC Socio-Economic Baseline Data, v1] (1980, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 2025): dataset for the evaluation of climate change impact curated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
*[https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/ipcc-ar4-observed-climate-impacts IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) Observed Climate Change Impacts, v1 (]1970–2004): database with observed responses to climate change for multidisciplinary studies curated by the IPCC.
*[https://data.oecd.org OECD Data]: The OECD publishes many economic and social indicators that are relevant for climate policy.
 
== References ==
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